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    Football Betting Trends   by Leo Mendelsohn

    Will the football betting trends for the Super Bowl
    Participants revert back to the norm or are we looking at a
    new trend? Until last year, the past 10 years the winners of
    the Super Bowl are a combined 58-79 ATS for a lousy 42%
    win ratio following their Super Bowl victory. While the losers
    of the Super Bowl are even worse the following year at 64-
    94 for a 41% win ratio. Combined, that is a record of 122-
    173 ATS for a low 41% win ratio. I mentioned all these
    figures last year in the Super Bowl Football Betting Trend
    article.

    New England and Carolina broke the football betting trend
    last year by combining for a 68% winning percentage
    Against The Spread (ATS). New England was 13-4-2 (76%)
    and Carolina was 9-6-1 (60%).

    A winning ATS record the following season for a Super Bowl
    Participant had only happened 4 times out of 20 chances
    the past ten years. (2 teams times 10 years = 20 chances)
    The Pittsburgh Steelers went 10-7 for a 58% win ratio after
    losing to the Dallas Cowboys back in Super Bowl XXX.
    Denver had a winning record ATS twice, 12-7 (63%)
    following their victory against Green Bay in Super Bowl
    XXXII and after their victory against Atlanta in Super Bowl
    XXXIII they went 9-5 (64%) the next year. Baltimore barely
    finished over 50% at 9-8 (53%) after beating the Giants in
    Super Bowl XXXV. Carolina and New England increased the
    total to six with their sterling records last year.

    So does the football betting trend that has dominated the
    NFL make a comeback or do Philadelphia and New England
    continue the success from last year for the previous Super
    Bowl participants? I think the success from last year will
    continue this year not because I am superstitious but I think
    the lines may favor the Eagles and the Patriots.

    The Eagles will have the harder time continuing the football
    betting trend and getting the lines a bettor wants (when
    looking to bet the Eagles) but I think they will continue to
    get better and dominate like last year and cover most of the
    big point spreads that come their way. They finished 12-7
    ATS last year and were 6-4 ATS when laying over a
    touchdown. But if the Owens situation becomes a problem
    the lines will favor the Eagle bettors and I think McNabb
    would cherish the opportunity to perform at a high level
    without TO.

    The Patriots bettors should receive favorable lines because
    they lost both coordinators. You should be able to jump on
    the Patriots at a great price and make some money early.
    People will be looking for them to fall back but I would not
    bet against Belichick if I were you. The man can coach and
    he will actually use this to his advantage and have his
    players ready to prove everyone wrong. Motivation will not
    be a problem. If they stumble the first 4 weeks, bettors will
    make a killing jumping on them or staying with them
    because the lines will change even more.


    About the Author
    Leo Mendelsohn is the CEO of Thehooksfootballpicks.com.
    Free
    football picks every week from Thehooks Book Ezine,
    which is free to join. Thehooks is your one stop source for
    college football and NFL information.
Football Betting Trends 2005
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