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               In the AFC North I expect to see the Pittsburgh Steelers who
    posted a mark of 16-2 straight up and 11-7 ATS overall last season
    to win a close divisional battle over the Baltimore Ravens who
    finished up their 2004 campaign with a 9-7 straight up and ATS mark
    and over a much improved Cincinnati Bengal team that finished with
    an 8-8 straight up record for the second straight year in 2004, the
    Brownies once again look to pull up the rear in what should prove to
    be the toughest division in the NFL in 2005.

           Pittsburgh has a tough row to hoe this season, the Steelers only
    have five games on the 2005 docket against 2004 playoff teams but
    four of those affairs take place on the road and that includes Monday
    Night road games at San Diego and at Indianapolis, overall the
    Steelers will play 10 of their 16 games against teams that posted .
    500 records or better last year, thus the reason for the projected drop
    off in regular season wins.

           Like most teams Pittsburgh lost quite a bit of talent to free
    agency, most notably the Steelers lost a total of five linemen along
    their offensive and defensive fronts which could cause depth
    problems if the ole injury bug hits and those losses were in addition
    to star WR Plaxico Burress departing to the big apple to play catch
    with Eli Manning.

           Baltimore has a very favorable schedule with regard to playing
    seven games against playoff teams from a year ago, however, five of
    those seven affairs will take place in Baltimore and two of those
    games are against dome teams (Vikes and Colts). The Ravens
    drafted WR Mark Clayton out of Oklahoma and overall had the best
    draft of any team in the AFC North, the free agent addition of WR
    Derrick Mason from the Titans along with the drafting of WR Clayton
    should bolster a stagnant Raven passing attack that was fully
    exposed last season.

           The Bengals finished 2004 with an 8-8 straight up record for the
    second straight year under HC Marvin Lewis, Bengal faithful should
    be overjoyed with their seasonal finishes over the past couple of
    years when considering that these same Bengals posted a total of 8
    wins combined during their 2001 and 2002 campaigns.

           With QB Carson Palmer starting his second full season under
    center and weapons WR Chad Johnson and RB Rudi Johnson
    happy with new contracts, Cincinnati has all of the pieces on offense
    to make the playoffs in 2005, the Bengal’s major malfunction during
    their 2004 campaign was their run defense but the drafting of
    Georgia DE David Pollack who will play LB for the Bengals and
    Georgia LB Odell Thurman should correct that problem.

           A new era starts in Cleveland Brownie land with the arrival of
    new HC Romeo Crennell who replaces ousted Butch Davis, the
    Brownies are actually an expansion team once again when
    considering that they have a totally new front office, totally new
    coaching staff and have replaced most of their offensive and
    defensive starters, the saving grace is that the new QB will be
    experienced retread Trent Dilfer who should be able to provide much
    needed leadership.

           The Brownies added a lot of talent via the free agent market and
    actually had a pretty good draft which was highlighted with WR
    Braylon Edwards as their top choice, but in the big scheme of things
    there has been way too much turnover in this organization to expect
    much in 2005, look to play the Brownies whenever a home doggie of
    more than a FG after week four of the regular season, by this time the
    team should start to gel a little and the public won’t be ready for the
    opportunity.

           In closing, the AFC North is a three horse race between
    Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, and Baltimore for the top spot, the difference
    maker will probably be who catches the ole injury bug and who
    avoids it, with that being said Pittsburgh gets the nod to win the
    division because of their depth at the QB and RB positions.

           With regard to betting opportunities, Pittsburgh played 12 non
    divisional games in 2004 and went 6-6 ATS in those affairs, a closer
    look see reveals that the Steelers were a betting underdog in five of
    the six non divisional games they covered, meanwhile, the Steelers
    were favorites in five of the six non divisional games they failed to
    cover.

             In other words as a dog playing a non divisional game the
    Steelers were virtually a sure bet to cover the spread, however, as a
    favorite in a non divisional game the Steelers had a tough time
    getting it up and hence proved to be almost a sure bet to NOT cover
    the posted number, a check backward in time reveals that these
    Steelers have failed to cover 6 of the past 7 times they have taken to
    the road as a favorite of six points or less against a non divisional
    opponent…things that make you go hmmmmm!!

            Jim Campbell is one of the nations most respected Sports
    Handicappers, he specializes in College and Pro Football, you can
    visit Jim at his website located at footballforecastor.com for all of your
    handicapping needs including free play selections, College and NFL
    stats, trends and award winning analysis on upcoming games.

       With over 30 plus years experience in the handicapping profession
    Jim has built a solid reputation, his web based handicapping service
    at footballforecastor.com as been in existence since 1997 and year
    after year proves to be one of the very best handicapping services in
    America
2005 NFL AFC north preview
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